FORUM

This year, the Jeju Forum hosted 3,672 participants from 49 countries, the largest number in the forum’s history, signaling its growing importance as an international forum that deals comprehensively with a variety of topics. With one voice, Asian political leaders and erudite scholars from around the world expressed their yearning for peace on the Korean Peninsula, and delivered the East Asian community’s shared vision of a peaceful, constructive resolution to historical and territorial disputes in Asia, founded on mutual understanding.  Seeking global cooperation that befits this anticipated paradigm shift, a broad range of topics was considered, including the economy, culture, women, energy, and climate change. As a result of these discussions, new measures were devised to respond effectively to various crises and changes.Based on the fruits of this year’s discussions.


Host: Jeju Special Self-Governing Province, International Peace Foundation, East Asia Foundation, JoongAng Ilbo 
Organizer: Jeju Peace Institute

TIME ORGANIZATION SESSION ROOM
15:00 ~ 16:20
[9-A] The Age of G2 and Arms Race in East Asia
G2 시대와 동아시아 군비경쟁
 Room A
Moderator: Nayan CHANDA (Director of Publications, Yale Center for the Study of Globalization)

Participants
Satu LIMAYE (Director, East-West Center in Washington D.C.)
“Pivot to Asia and American Arms Build-up in the Pacific: Can It Afford?”
PAN, Zhenqiang (Major General, retired, National Defense University, PLA)
“China and Arms Build-Up: Defensive or Offensive”
John SWENSON-WRIGHT (Senior Lecturer, Asian Studies Center, University of Cambridge)
“PM Abe Shinjo and Assertive Defense Posture: Is It Real or for Domestic Consumption?”
CHOI, Kang (Director of Planning, Korea National Diplomatic Academy)
“The Park Geun-hye Government and Deterrence Policy”

Rapporteur: KANG, Chan Koo (Program Officer, East Asia Foundation)

사회: 나얀 찬다 (예일대 세계화 연구센터 출판담당 국장)

발표 및 토론
사투 리마예 (이스트웨스트센터 워싱턴 지부 소장)
판젠창 (중국인민해방군 예비역 소장, 중국국방대학교 교수)
존 스웬슨-라이트 (캠브리지대 아시아연구센터 교수)
최강 (국립외교원 기획부장)

라포터: 강찬구 (동아시아재단 간사)

Most Asian countries have been expanding their military budgets, while America and Europe have been reducing military spending. China’s decades-long economic growth has created increasing uncertainty about the future distribution of power and widespread suspicions in the region, which are reflected in rising tensions over maritime disputes in the East and South China Seas. In the face of North Korea’s continued efforts to develop its nuclear-weapons capability and long-range missile arsenal, Japan and South Korea have also made significant military capability improvements. While the US remains by far the world’s largest military spender, still more than the combined spending of the next 10 countries, the 2011 Budget Control Act imposed the expenditure ceilings on all government departments including defense by ‘sequestration’ – automatic cuts. This session will discuss how serious arms race in East Asia is and what measures we need for peace in the region.

• How would the US plan to cut defense spending affect its strategic posture in East Asia, despite Obama’s declaration of ‘rebalancing’ to Asia-Pacific?
• What type of military preparedness has been implemented since Hu Jintao announced the PLA’s new historic mission as “defending China’s overseas interests” in 2004?
• Will the Abe administration be able to actually implement its plan to improve military capability? If so, how?
• Will North Korea ever be ready to trade off its nuclear weapons for Western recognition and aid?

Speaker

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