The Jeju Forum for Peace and Prosperity

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This year, the Jeju Forum hosted 3,672 participants from 49 countries, the largest number in the forum’s history, signaling its growing importance as an international forum that deals comprehensively with a variety of topics. With one voice, Asian political leaders and erudite scholars from around the world expressed their yearning for peace on the Korean Peninsula, and delivered the East Asian community’s shared vision of a peaceful, constructive resolution to historical and territorial disputes in Asia, founded on mutual understanding. Seeking global cooperation that befits this anticipated paradigm shift, a broad range of topics was considered, including the economy, culture, women, energy, and climate change. As a result of these discussions, new measures were devised to respond effectively to various crises and changes.Based on the fruits of this year’s discussions.

Host: Jeju Special Self-Governing Province, International Peace Foundation, East Asia Foundation, JoongAng Ilbo
Organizer: Jeju Peace Institute

TIME	ORGANIZATION	SESSION	ROOM
09:00 ~ 10:20		[3-A] Coping with North Korean Nuclear Quagmire–What Options are Available? 북핵 난국 대처하기–어떤 선택방안이 있는가?	Room A
Moderator: Stein TØNNESSON (Former Director, Peace Research Institute Oslo) Discussants Peter HAYES (Director, The Nautilus Institute for Security & Sustainability) PAN, Zhenqiang (Major General, retired, National Defense University, PLA) CHEON, Seong-Whun (Director, Center for North Korean Studies, KINU) KANG, Tae-Ho (Senior Reporter, The Hangyeorye) LEE, Ha-Won (Senior Reporter, The Chosun Ilbo) KIM, Hyun-Kyung (Director, Center for Unification Studies, MBC) Rapporteur: SHIN, Yoon Hee (Program Officer, East Asia Foundation) 사회: 스타인 퇴니슨 (前 오슬로평화연구소 소장) 토론 피터 헤이즈 (노틸러스 연구소 소장) 판젠창 (중국인민해방군 예비역 소장, 중국국방대학교 교수) 전성훈 (통일연구원 북한연구센터 소장) 강태호 (한겨레신문 선임기자) 이하원 (조선일보 외교안보팀장) 김현경 (MBC 통일방송연구소 소장) 라포터: 신윤희 (동아시아재단 간사) North Korea launched a long-range rocket last December and conducted the 3rd nuclear test last February, which had incurred additional sanctions by the United Nations. In response, North Korea has raised the level of tensions in the Korean peninsula by raising belligerent rhetoric and military activities, and almost shutting down the Kaesong Industrial Complex – the last remaining symbol of inter-Korean cooperation. Meanwhile, the year 2012 had witnessed leadership changes in both Koreas and the surrounding four major powers. Despite these leadership changes with hopes for peace and stability in Northeast Asia, the goal of denuclearizing the Korean peninsula seems to be remote, while North Korea has been making progress in nuclear buildup. • Do we have realistic ways of getting out of North Korean nuclear quagmire? • If so, what options do we have including the 6 party talks, bilateral talks, and other measures and how can they be implemented in what time frame? • If not, what scenarios should we consider for peace and security in Northeast Asia? 북한은 작년 12월 장거리 로켓을 발사하고, 지난 2월에는 제3차 핵실험을 단행하여, UN은 이에 대해 추가적인 제재조치를 결의하였습니다. 그러자 북한은 호전적 수사와 군사적 행동을 동원하여 한반도 긴장수준을 고조시키며 남북협력의 남아있는 유일한 상징인 개성공단을 폐쇄 국면으로 몰아가고 있습니다. 2012년 남북한을 비롯한 미국, 중국, 일본, 러시아에서 리더십 교체가 이루어져 동북아 평화와 안정의 희망의 등불을 밝혔으나, 북한은 계속 핵개발에 진척을 이루면서 한반도 비핵화의 목표는 멀어 보이기만 합니다. • 과연 현재의 북핵 난국을 벗어날 현실적인 방안은 있는가? • 만일 있다면, 6자회담, 양자회담 및 다른 조치를 포함한 어떤 선택방안이 있으며, 그 실행방안은 무엇인가? • 만일 마땅한 선택방안이 없다면, 동북아 평화와 안보를 위해서 우리는 어떤 시나리오를 고려해야 하는가?

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